Prediction: Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo
Team pages: Seattle Sounders · Houston Dynamo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Seattle Sounders1.74
Houston Dynamo0.79
1X2
Seattle Sounders
Draw
Houston Dynamo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Seattle Sounders
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Houston Dynamo
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Seattle Sounders
3–3–0
Houston Dynamo
(6 last)
- Houston Dynamo0-1Seattle Sounders
- Houston Dynamo1-3Seattle Sounders
- Seattle Sounders0-0Houston Dynamo
- Houston Dynamo1-1Seattle Sounders
- Seattle Sounders0-0Houston Dynamo
- Seattle Sounders1-0Houston Dynamo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seattle Sounders (rating 1544 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Seattle Sounders: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Seattle Sounders | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.6 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Seattle Sounders 3–3–0 Houston Dynamo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 USA MLS | Houston Dynamo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Seattle Sounders |
| 11/05/25 USA MLS | Houston Dynamo | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Seattle Sounders |
| 23/03/25 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo |
| 04/11/24 USA MLS Play-Offs | Houston Dynamo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Seattle Sounders |
| 29/10/24 USA MLS Play-Offs | Seattle Sounders | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo |
| 29/09/24 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 47 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City SC | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 48 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 43 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 42 |
| 9 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 52 | 40 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 39 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 58 | 37 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 55 | 58 | 35 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 55 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 57 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 77 | 22 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Seattle Sounders | Houston Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Sporting Kansas City | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Minnesota United | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Real Salt Lake | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Seattle Sounders (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seattle Sounders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/10 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | New England Revolution USA MLS |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/10 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/09 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Houston Dynamo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 15/10 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
3-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 27/09 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/09 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 30/08 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Seattle Sounders win (59%). Probabilities: Seattle Sounders 59%, draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 16%.
How many goals are expected in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Seattle Sounders 1.74 · Houston Dynamo 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.