Football · USA MLS · 02/11, 01:00

Prediction: New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF

Team pages: New England Revolution · Inter Miami CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

New England Revolution1.62

Inter Miami CF1.81

1X2

34% 24% 42%

New England Revolution Draw Inter Miami CF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

New England Revolution 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWWWW

Inter Miami CF 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDLWWWLD

Head-to-head

New England Revolution 1–1–4 Inter Miami CF (6 last)

Inter Miami CF1-1New England Revolution
Inter Miami CF4-1New England Revolution
New England Revolution1-2Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF6-2New England Revolution
New England Revolution1-4Inter Miami CF
New England Revolution3-1Inter Miami CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · New England Revolution 1552 · Inter Miami CF 1521

	New England Revolution	Draw	Inter Miami CF
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Inter Miami CF: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	New England Revolution	Inter Miami CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.9	1.4 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X4.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.79 ★
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.26

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:27 +4’	2.63	4.00	2.20
14:50 +6’	2.70▲	4.10▲	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:52 +24’	2.80	4.00	2.27
03:56 +7’	2.81▲	3.98▼	2.27
05:26 +52’	2.79▼	3.95▼	2.26▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · New England Revolution 1–1–4 Inter Miami CF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	1-1 HT 0-0	New England Revolution
05/10/25 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	4-1 HT 2-0	New England Revolution
10/07/25 USA MLS	New England Revolution	1-2 HT 0-2	Inter Miami CF
20/10/24 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	6-2 HT 2-2	New England Revolution
28/04/24 USA MLS	New England Revolution	1-4 HT 1-1	Inter Miami CF
11/06/23 USA MLS	New England Revolution	3-1 HT 2-0	Inter Miami CF

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	32	21	8	3	66	23	71
2	New England Revolution	32	18	4	10	54	44	58
3	Inter Miami CF	32	15	11	6	75	55	56
4	Chicago Fire	32	15	7	10	57	48	52
5	Charlotte FC	32	14	8	10	59	48	50
6	Philadelphia Union	32	13	8	11	62	50	47
7	Orlando City SC	32	12	7	13	62	74	43
8	FC Cincinnati	32	11	10	11	66	73	43
9	Columbus Crew	32	12	5	15	52	49	41
10	New York Red Bulls	32	11	6	15	43	59	39
11	Toronto FC	32	9	12	11	50	60	39
12	New York City FC	32	9	11	12	47	44	38
13	DC United	32	7	12	13	39	57	33
14	Atlanta United	32	8	6	18	40	56	30
15	CF Montreal	32	6	7	19	36	66	25

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	New England Revolution	Inter Miami CF
New York Red Bulls	3-2 W	0-2 L
Chicago Fire	1-0 W	1-1 D
FC Cincinnati	3-2 W	2-2 D
New York City FC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: New England Revolution (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

New England Revolution

LWWWLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
25/10	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
18/10	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
15/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
11/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
27/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-1	0-3	11	4	L
20/09	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-0	4-2	10	4	W
13/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
10/09	New York City FC USA MLS	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
06/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-2	1-2	3	5	L

Inter Miami CF

DDDDLWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
24/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
18/10	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-0	3-1	2	5	W
15/10	New York City FC USA MLS	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
11/10	DC United USA MLS	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
28/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	1-2	1	11	L
21/09	San Diego FC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
13/09	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
10/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
06/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-1	2-2	6	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Inter Miami CF win (42%). Probabilities: New England Revolution 34%, draw 24%, Inter Miami CF 42%.

How many goals are expected in New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF?

The model expects 3.43 goals (New England Revolution 1.62 · Inter Miami CF 1.81), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.