Prediction: FC Altai Semey vs FK Aktobe

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
FC Altai Semey1
FK Aktobe1.35
1X2
27% 29% 44%
FC Altai Semey Draw FK Aktobe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Altai Semey 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLDLDLWWL
FK Aktobe 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDDDDWWLWL
Head-to-head
FC Altai Semey 0–1–1 FK Aktobe (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Altai Semey 1483 · FK Aktobe 1516
FC Altai SemeyDrawFK Aktobe
Our model26%30%44%
Market28%28%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Altai SemeyFK Aktobe
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.51.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.82.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.25.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Altai Semey 011 FK Aktobe

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
Kazakhstan Premier League
FK Aktobe2-0
HT 0-0
FC Altai Semey
13/05/26
Kazakhstan Cup
FK Aktobe1-1
HT 1-1
FC Altai Semey

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ordabasy 171241 301240
2 Kairat Almaty 181161 341239
3 FC Astana 17854 251929
4 Okzhetpes Kokshetau 17764 222427
5 FC Elimai Semey 16754 241926
6 FK Ulytau 17755 141526
7 FK Aktobe 17746 221825
8 FK Zhenys 17566 141921
9 FK Atyrau 16394 121318
10 Zhetysu 17467 212518
11 Tobol Kostanay 17539 192518
12 Kaisar Kyzylorda 18396 132018
13 FK Kaspyi Aktau 175210 152217
14 FC Altai Semey 17377 121816
15 FK Kyzylzhar 174310 172515
16 Irtysh Pavlodar 17188 142211

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Altai SemeyFK Aktobe
Zhetysu 1-0 W 2-1 W
FC Astana 1-1 D 2-3 L
Okzhetpes Kokshetau 0-1 L 2-2 D
FK Kyzylzhar 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Altai Semey (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Altai Semey

DWLDLDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/07 Ordabasy
Kazakhstan Cup
0-2 1-3 63 L
11/07 Zhetysu
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 1-0 14 W
04/07 Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 1-0 103 W
28/06 Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-1 1-3 45 L
20/06 Zhetysu
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-2 3-3 16 D
14/06 FK Aktobe
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 0-2 16 L
27/05 FC Astana
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 1-1 42 D
22/05 Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-1 0-1 46 L
17/05 FK Kyzylzhar
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 2-1 24 W
13/05 FK Aktobe
Kazakhstan Cup
1-1 1-1 58 D

FK Aktobe

WDDDDWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 FC Astana
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-1 2-3 22 L
05/07 Zhetysu
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 2-1 97 W
27/06 Zhetysu
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-1 0-1 15 L
21/06 FC Astana
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-0 2-0 26 W
14/06 FC Altai Semey
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 2-0 86 W
28/05 Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Kazakhstan Premier League
1-1 2-2 66 D
23/05 FK Kyzylzhar
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 0-0 83 D
17/05 FK Atyrau
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 1-1 57 D
13/05 FC Altai Semey
Kazakhstan Cup
1-1 1-1 88 D
10/05 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakhstan Premier League
0-0 3-0 33 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Altai Semey vs FK Aktobe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Aktobe win (44%). Probabilities: FC Altai Semey 27%, draw 29%, FK Aktobe 44%.

How many goals are expected in FC Altai Semey vs FK Aktobe?

The model expects 2.35 goals (FC Altai Semey 1 · FK Aktobe 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Altai Semey vs FK Aktobe?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.