Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 26/07, 15:00
Prediction: FC Elimai Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
FC Elimai Semey1.64
Kaisar Kyzylorda0.88
1X2
FC Elimai Semey
Draw
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Elimai Semey
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Elimai Semey
4–1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(5 last)
- Kaisar Kyzylorda2-3FC Elimai Semey
- Kaisar Kyzylorda1-2FC Elimai Semey
- FC Elimai Semey2-0Kaisar Kyzylorda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Elimai Semey 1498 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1506
| FC Elimai Semey | Draw | Kaisar Kyzylorda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Elimai Semey: 4-0-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Elimai Semey | Kaisar Kyzylorda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.8 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Elimai Semey 4–0–1 Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2-3 HT 1-1 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 29/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 09/03/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 13/07/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 06/04/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | FC Elimai Semey | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 9 | Tobol Kostanay | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | FK Atyrau | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 18 |
| 12 | Zhetysu | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 18 |
| 13 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | FK Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Altai Semey | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 16 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Elimai Semey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/07 | Alashkert FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 09/07 | Alashkert FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 04/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 12/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Elimai Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Elimai Semey win (55%). Probabilities: FC Elimai Semey 55%, draw 26%, Kaisar Kyzylorda 19%.
How many goals are expected in FC Elimai Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
The model expects 2.52 goals (FC Elimai Semey 1.64 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Elimai Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.