Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 26/07, 17:00

Prediction: FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Zhenys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

FK Kaspyi Aktau1.2

FK Zhenys1.17

1X2

36% 29% 35%

FK Kaspyi Aktau Draw FK Zhenys

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kaspyi Aktau 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWWWD

FK Zhenys 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDDLWD

Head-to-head

FK Kaspyi Aktau 0–1 FK Zhenys (1 last)

FK Zhenys1-0FK Kaspyi Aktau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kaspyi Aktau 1516 · FK Zhenys 1487

	FK Kaspyi Aktau	Draw	FK Zhenys
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kaspyi Aktau	FK Zhenys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.2	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.20

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 17:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.50 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:00 +20’	2.50	3.20	2.50
15:31 +1’	2.45▼	3.20	2.55▲
16:29 +1’	2.50▲	3.20	2.50▼
17:27 +6’	2.45▼	3.20	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kaspyi Aktau 0–0–1 FK Zhenys

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Zhenys	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Kaspyi Aktau

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	18	13	4	1	33	13	43
2	Kairat Almaty	19	12	6	1	37	13	42
3	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	18	8	6	4	24	24	30
4	FC Astana	17	8	5	4	25	19	29
5	FK Aktobe	18	8	4	6	26	20	28
6	FK Ulytau	18	7	6	5	15	16	27
7	FC Elimai Semey	17	7	5	5	25	22	26
8	FK Zhenys	18	5	7	6	15	20	22
9	Tobol Kostanay	18	5	4	9	20	26	19
10	Kaisar Kyzylorda	19	3	10	6	14	21	19
11	FK Atyrau	17	3	9	5	13	16	18
12	Zhetysu	18	4	6	8	21	27	18
13	FK Kaspyi Aktau	18	5	3	10	16	23	18
14	FK Kyzylzhar	18	4	4	10	18	26	16
15	FC Altai Semey	18	3	7	8	14	22	16
16	Irtysh Pavlodar	17	1	8	8	14	22	11

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kaspyi Aktau	FK Zhenys
Irtysh Pavlodar	2-2 D	1-0 W
FK Ulytau	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Elimai Semey	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Zhenys (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Kaspyi Aktau

WLDLLLWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
11/07	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
05/07	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
27/06	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
20/06	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
14/06	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	1-2	6	6	L
28/05	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/05	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
16/05	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	0	10	L
09/05	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

FK Zhenys

WLLWLDDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
11/07	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/07	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
28/06	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	2-2	4	9	D
20/06	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
14/06	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
28/05	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
23/05	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
17/05	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
13/05	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Cup	2-0	2-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Zhenys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kaspyi Aktau win (36%). Probabilities: FK Kaspyi Aktau 36%, draw 29%, FK Zhenys 35%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Zhenys?

The model expects 2.36 goals (FK Kaspyi Aktau 1.2 · FK Zhenys 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Zhenys?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.