Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 18/07, 17:00
Prediction: Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Kaspyi Aktau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Kaisar Kyzylorda1.36
FK Kaspyi Aktau0.93
1X2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw
FK Kaspyi Aktau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
FK Kaspyi Aktau
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kaisar Kyzylorda
5–1
FK Kaspyi Aktau
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1501 · FK Kaspyi Aktau 1521
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | Draw | FK Kaspyi Aktau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kaisar Kyzylorda: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | FK Kaspyi Aktau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaisar Kyzylorda 5–0–1 FK Kaspyi Aktau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 23/09/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 3-1 HT 0-1 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 01/04/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 29/07/22 Kazakhstan Cup | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 23/07/22 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 19/06/21 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Elimai Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | FK Aktobe | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | FK Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | Zhetysu | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 11 | Tobol Kostanay | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 18 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 18 |
| 13 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 17 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | FK Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kaisar Kyzylorda | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
|---|---|---|
| FK Ulytau | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| FC Elimai Semey | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kaspyi Aktau (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
FK Kaspyi Aktau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaisar Kyzylorda win (46%). Probabilities: Kaisar Kyzylorda 46%, draw 29%, FK Kaspyi Aktau 25%.
How many goals are expected in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Kaisar Kyzylorda 1.36 · FK Kaspyi Aktau 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.