Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: FK Zhenys vs FK Ulytau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
FK Zhenys1.22
FK Ulytau0.79
1X2
FK Zhenys
Draw
FK Ulytau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FK Zhenys
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FK Ulytau
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Zhenys
1–1–1
FK Ulytau
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zhenys 1500 · FK Ulytau 1509
| FK Zhenys | Draw | FK Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 32% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zhenys | FK Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zhenys 1–1–1 FK Ulytau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Ulytau | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FK Zhenys |
| 05/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Ulytau |
| 30/03/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Ulytau | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Zhenys |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Elimai Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | FK Aktobe | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | FK Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | Zhetysu | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 11 | Tobol Kostanay | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 18 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 18 |
| 13 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 17 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | FK Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Zhenys | FK Ulytau |
|---|---|---|
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Astana | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Elimai Semey | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Kairat Almaty | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zhenys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 20/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
FK Ulytau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 10/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zhenys vs FK Ulytau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zhenys win (46%). Probabilities: FK Zhenys 46%, draw 30%, FK Ulytau 24%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zhenys vs FK Ulytau?
The model expects 2.01 goals (FK Zhenys 1.22 · FK Ulytau 0.79), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zhenys vs FK Ulytau?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.