Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 18/07, 14:00
Prediction: Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs Zhetysu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.65
Zhetysu1.12
1X2
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Draw
Zhetysu
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Zhetysu
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
2–2–2
Zhetysu
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1488 · Zhetysu 1466
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Draw | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 2–2–2 Zhetysu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 09/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Zhetysu |
| 11/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 12/08/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Zhetysu |
| 07/05/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 04/10/22 Kazakhstan Division 1 | Zhetysu | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | FC Elimai Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | FK Aktobe | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | FK Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | Zhetysu | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 11 | Tobol Kostanay | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 18 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 18 |
| 13 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 17 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | FK Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Zhetysu |
|---|---|---|
| FK Aktobe | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Altai Semey | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Atyrau | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| FK Kyzylzhar | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Okzhetpes Kokshetau (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Zhetysu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 13/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs Zhetysu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (49%). Probabilities: Okzhetpes Kokshetau 49%, draw 26%, Zhetysu 25%.
How many goals are expected in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs Zhetysu?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.65 · Zhetysu 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs Zhetysu?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.