Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 02/08, 15:00

Prediction: FK Zhenys vs FC Elimai Semey

Team pages: FK Zhenys · FC Elimai Semey

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

FK Zhenys1.19

FC Elimai Semey1.4

1X2

31% 29% 41%

FK Zhenys Draw FC Elimai Semey

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zhenys 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDDLWDLL

FC Elimai Semey 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDDLD

Head-to-head

FK Zhenys 1–5 FC Elimai Semey (6 last)

FC Elimai Semey2-1FK Zhenys
FC Elimai Semey1-2FK Zhenys
FK Zhenys0-1FC Elimai Semey
FC Elimai Semey1-0FK Zhenys
FK Zhenys1-2FC Elimai Semey
FK Zhenys0-3FC Elimai Semey

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zhenys 1467 · FC Elimai Semey 1503

	FK Zhenys	Draw	FC Elimai Semey
Our model	31%	29%	41%
Market	31%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Elimai Semey: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zhenys	FC Elimai Semey
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	3.8 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.5	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.90▲	Bet365 2.90
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.38 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +25’	2.70	3.10	2.38
17:52 +2’	2.90▲	3.10	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zhenys 1–0–5 FC Elimai Semey

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Elimai Semey	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Zhenys
19/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Elimai Semey	1-2 HT 1-0	FK Zhenys
20/04/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Zhenys	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Elimai Semey
27/07/24 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Elimai Semey	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Zhenys
04/05/24 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Zhenys	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Elimai Semey
26/09/23 Kazakhstan Division 1	FK Zhenys	0-3	FC Elimai Semey

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kairat Almaty	20	13	6	1	39	14	45
2	Ordabasy	19	13	4	2	34	15	43
3	FC Astana	18	9	5	4	29	20	32
4	FK Aktobe	19	9	4	6	28	21	31
5	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	19	8	6	5	25	26	30
6	FC Elimai Semey	18	7	6	5	26	23	27
7	FK Ulytau	19	7	6	6	16	18	27
8	Tobol Kostanay	19	6	4	9	21	26	22
9	FK Zhenys	19	5	7	7	17	23	22
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	19	6	3	10	19	25	21
11	Kaisar Kyzylorda	20	3	11	6	15	22	20
12	FK Kyzylzhar	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
13	FK Atyrau	18	3	9	6	13	17	18
14	Zhetysu	19	4	6	9	22	29	18
15	FC Altai Semey	19	3	7	9	15	26	16
16	Irtysh Pavlodar	18	2	8	8	16	23	14

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Zhenys

LWLDDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Cup	1-2	1-3	4	7	L
26/07	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	2-3	9	10	L
18/07	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
11/07	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/07	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
28/06	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	2-2	4	9	D
20/06	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
14/06	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
28/05	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
23/05	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	2	L

FC Elimai Semey

WWLLWWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
19/07	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-3	6	7	L
16/07	Alashkert FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
09/07	Alashkert FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
04/07	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	12	8	W
27/06	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/06	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-2	6	6	L
14/06	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-3	8	6	L
28/05	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	3-2	9	3	W
23/05	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zhenys vs FC Elimai Semey?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Elimai Semey win (41%). Probabilities: FK Zhenys 31%, draw 29%, FC Elimai Semey 41%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zhenys vs FC Elimai Semey?

The model expects 2.59 goals (FK Zhenys 1.19 · FC Elimai Semey 1.4), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zhenys vs FC Elimai Semey?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.