Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 02/08, 14:00

Prediction: Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FC Altai Semey

Team pages: Okzhetpes Kokshetau · FC Altai Semey

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.82

FC Altai Semey1.14

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Okzhetpes Kokshetau Draw FC Altai Semey

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Okzhetpes Kokshetau 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Altai Semey 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Okzhetpes Kokshetau 2–1 FC Altai Semey (3 last)

FC Altai Semey0-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
FC Altai Semey1-0Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Okzhetpes Kokshetau2-1FC Altai Semey

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1493 · FC Altai Semey 1465

	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	Draw	FC Altai Semey
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	52%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Okzhetpes Kokshetau: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	FC Altai Semey
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.3	1.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:26 +3’	1.73	3.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 2–0–1 FC Altai Semey

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Altai Semey	0-1 HT 0-1	Okzhetpes Kokshetau
19/09/24 Kazakhstan Division 1	FC Altai Semey	1-0 HT 1-0	Okzhetpes Kokshetau
09/05/24 Kazakhstan Division 1	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Altai Semey

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kairat Almaty	20	13	6	1	39	14	45
2	Ordabasy	19	13	4	2	34	15	43
3	FC Astana	18	9	5	4	29	20	32
4	FK Aktobe	19	9	4	6	28	21	31
5	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	19	8	6	5	25	26	30
6	FC Elimai Semey	18	7	6	5	26	23	27
7	FK Ulytau	19	7	6	6	16	18	27
8	Tobol Kostanay	19	6	4	9	21	26	22
9	FK Zhenys	19	5	7	7	17	23	22
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	19	6	3	10	19	25	21
11	Kaisar Kyzylorda	20	3	11	6	15	22	20
12	FK Kyzylzhar	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
13	FK Atyrau	18	3	9	6	13	17	18
14	Zhetysu	19	4	6	9	22	29	18
15	FC Altai Semey	19	3	7	9	15	26	16
16	Irtysh Pavlodar	18	2	8	8	16	23	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	FC Altai Semey
FK Aktobe	1-2 L	2-4 L
Zhetysu	2-0 W	1-0 W
Tobol Kostanay	1-3 L	1-0 W
FC Astana	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Okzhetpes Kokshetau (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Okzhetpes Kokshetau

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-2	5	8	L
18/07	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
12/07	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
02/07	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-3	0-5	2	2	L
27/06	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
21/06	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/06	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	2-2	5	6	D
28/05	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
22/05	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
16/05	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

FC Altai Semey

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-4	1	3	L
19/07	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	2-4	5	9	L
15/07	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Cup	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
11/07	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
04/07	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
28/06	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
20/06	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	3-3	1	6	D
14/06	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
27/05	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
22/05	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FC Altai Semey?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (52%). Probabilities: Okzhetpes Kokshetau 52%, draw 25%, FC Altai Semey 23%.

How many goals are expected in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FC Altai Semey?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.82 · FC Altai Semey 1.14), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FC Altai Semey?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.