Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 01/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Atyrau vs Zhetysu

Team pages: FK Atyrau · Zhetysu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

FK Atyrau1.19

Zhetysu0.87

1X2

43% 31% 26%

FK Atyrau Draw Zhetysu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Atyrau 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDDDWLLLL

Zhetysu 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDDWLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Atyrau 1–3–2 Zhetysu (6 last)

Zhetysu0-0FK Atyrau
FK Atyrau0-2Zhetysu
Zhetysu0-0FK Atyrau
FK Atyrau1-1Zhetysu
Zhetysu0-2FK Atyrau
FK Atyrau0-1Zhetysu

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Atyrau 1453 · Zhetysu 1447

	FK Atyrau	Draw	Zhetysu
Our model	42%	32%	26%
Market	44%	29%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Zhetysu: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Atyrau	Zhetysu
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.9	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.10

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:44 +34’	2.05	3.10	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Atyrau 1–3–2 Zhetysu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	Zhetysu	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Atyrau
29/04/26 Kazakhstan Cup	FK Atyrau	0-2 HT 0-0	Zhetysu
17/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	Zhetysu	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Atyrau
17/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Atyrau	1-1 HT 0-0	Zhetysu
03/11/24 Kazakhstan Premier League	Zhetysu	0-2 HT 0-2	FK Atyrau
30/03/24 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Atyrau	0-1 HT 0-0	Zhetysu

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kairat Almaty	20	13	6	1	39	14	45
2	Ordabasy	19	13	4	2	34	15	43
3	FC Astana	18	9	5	4	29	20	32
4	FK Aktobe	19	9	4	6	28	21	31
5	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	19	8	6	5	25	26	30
6	FC Elimai Semey	18	7	6	5	26	23	27
7	FK Ulytau	19	7	6	6	16	18	27
8	Tobol Kostanay	19	6	4	9	21	26	22
9	FK Zhenys	19	5	7	7	17	23	22
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	19	6	3	10	19	25	21
11	Kaisar Kyzylorda	20	3	11	6	15	22	20
12	FK Kyzylzhar	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
13	FK Atyrau	18	3	9	6	13	17	18
14	Zhetysu	19	4	6	9	22	29	18
15	FC Altai Semey	19	3	7	9	15	26	16
16	Irtysh Pavlodar	18	2	8	8	16	23	14

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Atyrau	Zhetysu
FK Aktobe	1-1 D	1-2 L
Okzhetpes Kokshetau	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Atyrau (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Atyrau

DDDDDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
18/07	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-3	1-3	1	2	L
05/07	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
27/06	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
21/06	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	2-1	2-1	0	6	W
13/06	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
28/05	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
23/05	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/05	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
09/05	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Zhetysu

LDLDDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-2	8	11	L
18/07	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
11/07	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
05/07	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-2	1	7	L
27/06	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
20/06	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	3-3	6	6	D
13/06	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
28/05	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	2-3	3	7	L
23/05	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/05	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-2	0	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Atyrau vs Zhetysu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Atyrau win (43%). Probabilities: FK Atyrau 43%, draw 31%, Zhetysu 26%.

How many goals are expected in FK Atyrau vs Zhetysu?

The model expects 2.06 goals (FK Atyrau 1.19 · Zhetysu 0.87), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Atyrau vs Zhetysu?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.