Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 25/07, 15:00
Prediction: Zhetysu vs FK Kyzylzhar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Zhetysu1.26
FK Kyzylzhar1.16
1X2
Zhetysu
Draw
FK Kyzylzhar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Zhetysu
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
FK Kyzylzhar
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zhetysu
0–3–3
FK Kyzylzhar
(6 last)
- FK Kyzylzhar3-2Zhetysu
- Zhetysu0-1FK Kyzylzhar
- FK Kyzylzhar1-1Zhetysu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhetysu 1435 · FK Kyzylzhar 1432
| Zhetysu | Draw | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Kyzylzhar: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zhetysu | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.5 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhetysu 0–3–3 FK Kyzylzhar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Zhetysu |
| 26/10/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 02/03/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Zhetysu |
| 03/08/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Zhetysu |
| 19/05/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 05/08/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Kyzylzhar |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | FK Ulytau | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | FC Elimai Semey | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 9 | Tobol Kostanay | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | FK Atyrau | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 18 |
| 12 | Zhetysu | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 18 |
| 13 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | FK Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Altai Semey | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 16 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zhetysu | FK Kyzylzhar |
|---|---|---|
| FC Altai Semey | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Aktobe | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kyzylzhar (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhetysu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 13/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
FK Kyzylzhar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 17/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhetysu vs FK Kyzylzhar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zhetysu win (37%). Probabilities: Zhetysu 37%, draw 30%, FK Kyzylzhar 33%.
How many goals are expected in Zhetysu vs FK Kyzylzhar?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Zhetysu 1.26 · FK Kyzylzhar 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zhetysu vs FK Kyzylzhar?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.