Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 09/08, 15:00
Prediction: FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Team pages: FC Astana · Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
FC Astana1.82
Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.19
1X2
FC Astana
Draw
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Astana
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Astana
3–2–1
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
(6 last)
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-0FC Astana
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-2FC Astana
- FC Astana5-2Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-1FC Astana
- FC Astana4-2Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau0-0FC Astana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Astana 1560 · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1495
| FC Astana | Draw | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Astana (rating 1560 vs 1495).
- H2H favours FC Astana: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Astana | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Astana 3–2–1 Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Astana |
| 28/09/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Astana |
| 15/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Astana | 5-2 HT 3-2 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 13/04/25 Kazakhstan Cup | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Astana |
| 27/09/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Astana | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 14/05/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 46 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 27 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 23 |
| 9 | Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 10 | FK Kyzylzhar | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 28 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 21 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| 13 | FK Atyrau | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 16 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Astana | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
|---|---|---|
| FC Altai Semey | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| FK Aktobe | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Astana (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Astana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 12/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/05 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Astana win (51%). Probabilities: FC Astana 51%, draw 25%, Okzhetpes Kokshetau 24%.
How many goals are expected in FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
The model expects 3.01 goals (FC Astana 1.82 · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Astana vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.