Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 08/08, 15:00
Prediction: Zhetysu vs Ordabasy
Team pages: Zhetysu · Ordabasy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Zhetysu0.82
Ordabasy1.69
1X2
Zhetysu
Draw
Ordabasy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Zhetysu
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Ordabasy
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zhetysu
1–1–4
Ordabasy
(6 last)
- Ordabasy2-1Zhetysu
- Ordabasy1-0Zhetysu
- Zhetysu1-0Ordabasy
- Ordabasy1-0Zhetysu
- Zhetysu1-1Ordabasy
- Ordabasy3-1Zhetysu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhetysu 1432 · Ordabasy 1580
| Zhetysu | Draw | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 26% | 57% |
| Market | 18% | 24% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ordabasy (rating 1432 vs 1580).
- H2H favours Ordabasy: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zhetysu | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.5 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhetysu 1–1–4 Ordabasy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Zhetysu |
| 13/05/26 Kazakhstan Cup | Ordabasy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zhetysu |
| 20/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ordabasy |
| 19/04/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Zhetysu |
| 28/07/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Ordabasy |
| 01/06/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Zhetysu |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 46 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 27 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 23 |
| 9 | Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 10 | FK Kyzylzhar | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 28 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 21 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| 13 | FK Atyrau | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 19 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 16 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhetysu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 18/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Ordabasy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhetysu vs Ordabasy?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ordabasy win (58%). Probabilities: Zhetysu 17%, draw 25%, Ordabasy 58%.
How many goals are expected in Zhetysu vs Ordabasy?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Zhetysu 0.82 · Ordabasy 1.69), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zhetysu vs Ordabasy?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.