Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: FC Altai Semey vs FK Kyzylzhar

Team pages: FC Altai Semey · FK Kyzylzhar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

FC Altai Semey1.48

FK Kyzylzhar1.39

1X2

38% 28% 34%

FC Altai Semey Draw FK Kyzylzhar

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Altai Semey 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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FK Kyzylzhar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Altai Semey 1–0 FK Kyzylzhar (1 last)

FK Kyzylzhar1-2FC Altai Semey

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Altai Semey 1461 · FK Kyzylzhar 1463

	FC Altai Semey	Draw	FK Kyzylzhar
Our model	38%	27%	34%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Altai Semey	FK Kyzylzhar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/90/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	5.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.56 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:37 +6’	2.35	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:23	2.56	2.86	2.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Altai Semey 1–0–0 FK Kyzylzhar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Kyzylzhar	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Altai Semey

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	20	14	4	2	36	15	46
2	Kairat Almaty	20	13	6	1	39	14	45
3	FC Astana	19	10	5	4	31	20	35
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	20	9	6	5	29	27	33
5	FK Aktobe	20	9	4	7	29	24	31
6	FC Elimai Semey	19	7	7	5	26	23	28
7	FK Ulytau	20	7	6	7	16	20	27
8	FK Zhenys	20	5	8	7	17	23	23
9	Tobol Kostanay	20	6	4	10	21	28	22
10	FK Kyzylzhar	20	6	4	10	23	28	22
11	FK Kaspyi Aktau	20	6	3	11	21	28	21
12	Kaisar Kyzylorda	20	3	11	6	15	22	20
13	FK Atyrau	19	3	10	6	14	18	19
14	Zhetysu	20	4	7	9	23	30	19
15	Irtysh Pavlodar	19	3	8	8	19	25	17
16	FC Altai Semey	20	3	7	10	16	30	16

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Altai Semey	FK Kyzylzhar
FK Aktobe	2-4 L	3-1 W
Zhetysu	1-0 W	2-1 W
Tobol Kostanay	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Altai Semey

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-4	10	4	L
26/07	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-4	1	3	L
19/07	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	2-4	5	9	L
15/07	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Cup	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
11/07	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
04/07	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
28/06	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
20/06	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	3-3	1	6	D
14/06	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
27/05	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

FK Kyzylzhar

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	7	W
25/07	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	2-1	4	11	W
18/07	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
04/07	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
27/06	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
21/06	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	2-2	2-4	3	11	L
17/06	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
13/06	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
28/05	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	3-2	5	7	W
23/05	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Altai Semey vs FK Kyzylzhar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Altai Semey win (38%). Probabilities: FC Altai Semey 38%, draw 28%, FK Kyzylzhar 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Altai Semey vs FK Kyzylzhar?

The model expects 2.86 goals (FC Altai Semey 1.48 · FK Kyzylzhar 1.39), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Altai Semey vs FK Kyzylzhar?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.