Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Ordabasy vs FC Altai Semey

Team pages: Ordabasy · FC Altai Semey

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Ordabasy2.5

FC Altai Semey0.78

1X2

74% 17% 9%

Ordabasy Draw FC Altai Semey

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Ordabasy 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWLWW

FC Altai Semey 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLLLLD

Head-to-head

Ordabasy 1–1–0 FC Altai Semey (2 last)

Ordabasy3-1FC Altai Semey
FC Altai Semey0-0Ordabasy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ordabasy 1575 · FC Altai Semey 1449

	Ordabasy	Draw	FC Altai Semey
Our model	74%	17%	9%
Market	74%	17%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ordabasy (rating 1575 vs 1449).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ordabasy	FC Altai Semey
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.3	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.50

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)2.00

2 (+2)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.22▼	Bet365 1.22
X	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 6.15 ★
2	7.50 → 10.00▲	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:56 +2’	1.27	5.50	7.50
01:59 +12’	1.22▼	5.50	10.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:55 +3’	1.16	6.48	11.11
02:09 +1’	1.18▲	6.15▼	9.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ordabasy 1–1–0 FC Altai Semey

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/07/26 Kazakhstan Cup	Ordabasy	3-1 HT 2-0	FC Altai Semey
10/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Altai Semey	0-0 HT 0-0	Ordabasy

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	21	15	4	2	40	15	49
2	Kairat Almaty	20	13	6	1	39	14	45
3	FC Astana	20	11	5	4	33	21	38
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	21	9	6	6	30	29	33
5	FK Aktobe	21	9	5	7	30	25	32
6	FC Elimai Semey	20	8	7	5	29	24	31
7	FK Ulytau	21	7	7	7	17	21	28
8	FK Kyzylzhar	21	6	5	10	25	30	23
9	FK Zhenys	20	5	8	7	17	23	23
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	21	6	4	11	22	29	22
11	Tobol Kostanay	20	6	4	10	21	28	22
12	FK Atyrau	20	3	11	6	15	19	20
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	20	3	11	6	15	22	20
14	Zhetysu	21	4	7	10	23	34	19
15	Irtysh Pavlodar	20	3	8	9	20	28	17
16	FC Altai Semey	21	3	8	10	18	32	17

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ordabasy	FC Altai Semey
Zhetysu	4-0 W	1-0 W
Tobol Kostanay	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ordabasy (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Ordabasy

WWWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
02/08	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
26/07	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
19/07	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	2-1	3-1	3	7	W
15/07	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Cup	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
11/07	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	2-3	9	3	L
05/07	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
28/06	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
20/06	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
14/06	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	3-1	5	6	W

FC Altai Semey

LDLWWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	2-2	8	2	D
02/08	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-4	10	4	L
26/07	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-4	1	3	L
19/07	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	2-4	5	9	L
15/07	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Cup	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
11/07	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
04/07	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
28/06	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
20/06	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	3-3	1	6	D
14/06	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-2	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ordabasy vs FC Altai Semey?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ordabasy win (74%). Probabilities: Ordabasy 74%, draw 17%, FC Altai Semey 9%.

How many goals are expected in Ordabasy vs FC Altai Semey?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Ordabasy 2.5 · FC Altai Semey 0.78), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ordabasy vs FC Altai Semey?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.