Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Aktobe
Team pages: Kaisar Kyzylorda · FK Aktobe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Kaisar Kyzylorda1.17
FK Aktobe1.25
1X2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw
FK Aktobe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
FK Aktobe
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0–1–5
FK Aktobe
(6 last)
- FK Aktobe3-0Kaisar Kyzylorda
- FK Aktobe2-1Kaisar Kyzylorda
- FK Aktobe4-1Kaisar Kyzylorda
- FK Aktobe1-1Kaisar Kyzylorda
- FK Aktobe2-0Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda1-3FK Aktobe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1504 · FK Aktobe 1534
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | Draw | FK Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Aktobe: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | FK Aktobe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 5.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaisar Kyzylorda 0–1–5 FK Aktobe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Aktobe | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 14/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Aktobe | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 06/04/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Aktobe | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 18/08/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Aktobe | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 25/05/24 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Aktobe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 01/03/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FK Aktobe |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | FK Kyzylzhar | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 23 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 11 | Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 17 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 12/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
FK Aktobe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 19/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Aktobe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Aktobe win (37%). Probabilities: Kaisar Kyzylorda 33%, draw 29%, FK Aktobe 37%.
How many goals are expected in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Aktobe?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Kaisar Kyzylorda 1.17 · FK Aktobe 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Aktobe?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.