Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: FK Atyrau vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Team pages: FK Atyrau · Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
FK Atyrau1.21
Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.21
1X2
FK Atyrau
Draw
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Atyrau
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Atyrau
0–4–2
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
(6 last)
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau0-0FK Atyrau
- FK Atyrau0-0Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau2-1FK Atyrau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau0-0FK Atyrau
- FK Atyrau0-4Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- FK Atyrau2-2Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Atyrau 1460 · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1479
| FK Atyrau | Draw | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Okzhetpes Kokshetau: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Atyrau | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 2.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Atyrau 0–4–2 Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 28/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 08/03/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 24/09/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 02/04/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 29/09/19 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 48 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | FK Aktobe | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 35 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 33 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
| 9 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 10 | Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Kyzylzhar | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 22 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 20 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Atyrau | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
|---|---|---|
| FK Aktobe | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Zhetysu | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Tobol Kostanay | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Kairat Almaty | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Atyrau (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Atyrau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Atyrau vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Atyrau win (36%). Probabilities: FK Atyrau 36%, draw 28%, Okzhetpes Kokshetau 36%.
How many goals are expected in FK Atyrau vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
The model expects 2.43 goals (FK Atyrau 1.21 · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Atyrau vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.