Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Astana
Team pages: FK Kyzylzhar · FC Astana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
FK Kyzylzhar1.2
FC Astana1.67
1X2
FK Kyzylzhar
Draw
FC Astana
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Kyzylzhar
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
FC Astana
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Kyzylzhar
1–1–4
FC Astana
(6 last)
- FC Astana2-1FK Kyzylzhar
- FC Astana3-3FK Kyzylzhar
- FK Kyzylzhar0-2FC Astana
- FC Astana2-1FK Kyzylzhar
- FK Kyzylzhar0-1FC Astana
- FK Kyzylzhar1-0FC Astana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Kyzylzhar 1470 · FC Astana 1566
| FK Kyzylzhar | Draw | FC Astana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Astana (rating 1470 vs 1566).
- H2H favours FC Astana: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Kyzylzhar | FC Astana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kyzylzhar 1–1–4 FC Astana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Astana | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 29/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Astana | 3-3 HT 1-1 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 09/03/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FC Astana |
| 14/09/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Astana | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 22/06/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
| 29/07/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Astana |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | FK Kyzylzhar | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 23 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 11 | Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 17 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Kyzylzhar | FC Astana |
|---|---|---|
| FC Altai Semey | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| FK Aktobe | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Kyzylzhar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 18/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 17/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
FC Astana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 12/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/07 | FC Dinamo City UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Astana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Astana win (47%). Probabilities: FK Kyzylzhar 26%, draw 26%, FC Astana 47%.
How many goals are expected in FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Astana?
The model expects 2.87 goals (FK Kyzylzhar 1.2 · FC Astana 1.67), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Astana?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.