Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 15/08, 15:00
Prediction: FK Zhenys vs Zhetysu
Team pages: FK Zhenys · Zhetysu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
FK Zhenys1.5
Zhetysu1.1
1X2
FK Zhenys
Draw
Zhetysu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Zhenys
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Zhetysu
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Zhenys
3–2–1
Zhetysu
(6 last)
- Zhetysu2-3FK Zhenys
- FK Zhenys3-1Zhetysu
- Zhetysu0-0FK Zhenys
- FK Zhenys1-0Zhetysu
- Zhetysu2-2FK Zhenys
- Zhetysu3-1FK Zhenys
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zhenys 1484 · Zhetysu 1426
| FK Zhenys | Draw | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zhenys (rating 1484 vs 1426).
- H2H favours FK Zhenys: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zhenys | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.6 | 6.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zhenys 3–2–1 Zhetysu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 2-3 HT 2-2 | FK Zhenys |
| 13/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Zhetysu |
| 05/04/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Zhenys |
| 19/10/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zhetysu |
| 16/06/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FK Zhenys |
| 30/09/22 Kazakhstan Division 1 | Zhetysu | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FK Zhenys |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | FK Kyzylzhar | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 23 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 11 | Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 17 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zhenys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 29/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 20/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Zhetysu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 18/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zhenys vs Zhetysu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zhenys win (45%). Probabilities: FK Zhenys 45%, draw 29%, Zhetysu 26%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zhenys vs Zhetysu?
The model expects 2.6 goals (FK Zhenys 1.5 · Zhetysu 1.1), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zhenys vs Zhetysu?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.