Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 29/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Team pages: Kaisar Kyzylorda · Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Kaisar Kyzylorda1.49
Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.45
1X2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1–3–2
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
(6 last)
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-1Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau4-2Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda2-2Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Kaisar Kyzylorda0-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau0-1Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-1Kaisar Kyzylorda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1474 · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1498
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | Draw | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Okzhetpes Kokshetau: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1–3–2 Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 06/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 29/03/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 01/07/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 25/06/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 03/09/22 Kazakhstan Division 1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 48 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 39 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 36 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 35 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 30 | 28 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 28 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 23 |
| 11 | FK Kyzylzhar | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 32 | 23 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 20 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 19 |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 17 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
|---|---|---|
| Tobol Kostanay | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| FK Aktobe | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kaisar Kyzylorda (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 12/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaisar Kyzylorda win (37%). Probabilities: Kaisar Kyzylorda 37%, draw 27%, Okzhetpes Kokshetau 36%.
How many goals are expected in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Kaisar Kyzylorda 1.49 · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.