Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 06/09, 14:00

Prediction: FC Altai Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda

Team pages: FC Altai Semey · Kaisar Kyzylorda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

FC Altai Semey1.39

Kaisar Kyzylorda1.35

1X2

36% 29% 35%

FC Altai Semey Draw Kaisar Kyzylorda

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Altai Semey 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Kaisar Kyzylorda 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Altai Semey 0–1–0 Kaisar Kyzylorda (1 last)

Kaisar Kyzylorda1-1FC Altai Semey

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Altai Semey 1433 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1466

	FC Altai Semey	Draw	Kaisar Kyzylorda
Our model	37%	28%	35%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Altai Semey	Kaisar Kyzylorda
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	5.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.50▲	Bet365 2.50
X	3.20 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
2	2.60 → 2.63▲	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:26 +4’	2.40	3.20	2.60
23:44 +7’	2.50▲	3.00▼	2.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Altai Semey 0–1–0 Kaisar Kyzylorda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	Kaisar Kyzylorda	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Altai Semey

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	23	17	4	2	46	16	55
2	Kairat Almaty	22	15	6	1	44	15	51
3	FC Astana	22	12	6	4	37	24	42
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	23	11	6	6	35	31	39
5	FK Aktobe	23	10	5	8	33	28	35
6	FC Elimai Semey	22	8	8	6	31	28	32
7	FK Ulytau	23	8	7	8	21	24	31
8	FK Zhenys	22	7	8	7	22	24	29
9	Tobol Kostanay	23	8	4	11	26	31	28
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	23	7	5	11	25	31	26
11	FK Kyzylzhar	23	6	5	12	24	35	23
12	FK Atyrau	22	3	11	8	17	24	20
13	Irtysh Pavlodar	22	4	8	10	22	31	20
14	Kaisar Kyzylorda	23	3	11	9	20	30	20
15	FC Altai Semey	23	4	7	12	20	34	19
16	Zhetysu	23	4	7	12	24	41	19

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Altai Semey	Kaisar Kyzylorda
Okzhetpes Kokshetau	1-4 L	2-3 L
FK Aktobe	2-4 L	1-2 L
Tobol Kostanay	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kaisar Kyzylorda (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Altai Semey

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
15/08	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	1-3	4	9	L
08/08	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	2-2	8	2	D
02/08	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-4	10	4	L
26/07	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-4	1	3	L
19/07	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	2-4	5	9	L
11/07	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
04/07	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
28/06	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
20/06	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	3-3	1	6	D

Kaisar Kyzylorda

WDWDLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	2-3	7	10	L
25/08	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	2-3	11	5	L
15/08	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
26/07	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
18/07	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	9	D
12/07	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
05/07	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	7	D
28/06	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
20/06	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
14/06	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	2-1	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Altai Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Altai Semey win (36%). Probabilities: FC Altai Semey 36%, draw 29%, Kaisar Kyzylorda 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Altai Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?

The model expects 2.73 goals (FC Altai Semey 1.39 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1.35), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Altai Semey vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.