Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 05/09, 14:00
Prediction: FK Aktobe vs FK Zhenys
Team pages: FK Aktobe · FK Zhenys
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
FK Aktobe1.56
FK Zhenys1.01
1X2
FK Aktobe
Draw
FK Zhenys
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Aktobe
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
FK Zhenys
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Aktobe
3–3
FK Zhenys
(6 last)
- FK Zhenys1-0FK Aktobe
- FK Aktobe0-2FK Zhenys
- FK Zhenys0-1FK Aktobe
- FK Zhenys1-0FK Aktobe
- FK Zhenys1-2FK Aktobe
- FK Aktobe2-1FK Zhenys
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Aktobe 1509 · FK Zhenys 1513
| FK Aktobe | Draw | FK Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Aktobe | FK Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Aktobe 3–0–3 FK Zhenys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Aktobe |
| 03/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Aktobe | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Zhenys |
| 03/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Aktobe |
| 13/04/25 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Zhenys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Aktobe |
| 04/08/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Aktobe |
| 21/07/24 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Aktobe | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FK Zhenys |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 46 | 16 | 55 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 44 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 24 | 42 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | Tobol Kostanay | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 28 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 26 |
| 11 | FK Kyzylzhar | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 35 | 23 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 20 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 20 |
| 15 | FC Altai Semey | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 34 | 19 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | 19 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Aktobe | FK Zhenys |
|---|---|---|
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Altai Semey | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Astana | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Zhetysu | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Zhenys (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Aktobe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 19/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
FK Zhenys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 20/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Aktobe vs FK Zhenys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Aktobe win (50%). Probabilities: FK Aktobe 50%, draw 27%, FK Zhenys 24%.
How many goals are expected in FK Aktobe vs FK Zhenys?
The model expects 2.57 goals (FK Aktobe 1.56 · FK Zhenys 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Aktobe vs FK Zhenys?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.