Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 13/09, 14:00
Prediction: FK Ulytau vs FC Altai Semey
Team pages: FK Ulytau · FC Altai Semey
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
FK Ulytau1.5
FC Altai Semey1.31
1X2
FK Ulytau
Draw
FC Altai Semey
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Ulytau
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FC Altai Semey
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Ulytau
4–1–0
FC Altai Semey
(5 last)
- FC Altai Semey2-2FK Ulytau
- FC Altai Semey1-2FK Ulytau
- FC Altai Semey0-4FK Ulytau
- FK Ulytau2-1FC Altai Semey
- FC Altai Semey0-4FK Ulytau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Ulytau 1467 · FC Altai Semey 1432
| FK Ulytau | Draw | FC Altai Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Ulytau: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Ulytau | FC Altai Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ulytau 4–1–0 FC Altai Semey
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 Kazakhstan Cup | FC Altai Semey | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FK Ulytau |
| 12/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Altai Semey | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Ulytau |
| 22/08/24 Kazakhstan Division 1 | FC Altai Semey | 0-4 HT 0-0 | FK Ulytau |
| 04/07/24 Kazakhstan Division 1 | FK Ulytau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Altai Semey |
| 27/06/23 Kazakhstan Division 2 | FC Altai Semey | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FK Ulytau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 50 | 15 | 57 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 32 | 42 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | 32 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 32 | 31 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 29 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 34 | 26 |
| 11 | FK Atyrau | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 23 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 36 | 23 |
| 13 | FC Altai Semey | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 34 | 22 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 41 | 22 |
| 15 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 32 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Ulytau | FC Altai Semey |
|---|---|---|
| Tobol Kostanay | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Zhetysu | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Astana | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| FK Zhenys | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Ordabasy | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Ulytau (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Ulytau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
FC Altai Semey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 11/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Ulytau vs FC Altai Semey?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Ulytau win (41%). Probabilities: FK Ulytau 41%, draw 27%, FC Altai Semey 32%.
How many goals are expected in FK Ulytau vs FC Altai Semey?
The model expects 2.8 goals (FK Ulytau 1.5 · FC Altai Semey 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Ulytau vs FC Altai Semey?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.