Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 12/09, 17:00
Prediction: Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Atyrau
Team pages: Kaisar Kyzylorda · FK Atyrau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Kaisar Kyzylorda1.3
FK Atyrau1.12
1X2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw
FK Atyrau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
FK Atyrau
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2–3–1
FK Atyrau
(6 last)
- FK Atyrau2-0Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda0-0FK Atyrau
- FK Atyrau1-2Kaisar Kyzylorda
- FK Atyrau2-2Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda1-1FK Atyrau
- Kaisar Kyzylorda1-0FK Atyrau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1438 · FK Atyrau 1457
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | Draw | FK Atyrau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kaisar Kyzylorda: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | FK Atyrau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 3.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaisar Kyzylorda 2–3–1 FK Atyrau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 23/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 25/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 03/08/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 20/04/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 22/10/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 50 | 15 | 57 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 32 | 42 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | 32 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 32 | 31 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 29 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 34 | 26 |
| 11 | FK Atyrau | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 23 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 36 | 23 |
| 13 | FC Altai Semey | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 34 | 22 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 41 | 22 |
| 15 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 32 | 20 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kaisar Kyzylorda | FK Atyrau |
|---|---|---|
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Tobol Kostanay | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Aktobe | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Elimai Semey | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 25/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 12/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
FK Atyrau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Atyrau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaisar Kyzylorda win (40%). Probabilities: Kaisar Kyzylorda 40%, draw 29%, FK Atyrau 31%.
How many goals are expected in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Atyrau?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Kaisar Kyzylorda 1.3 · FK Atyrau 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs FK Atyrau?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.