Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: FK Zhenys vs FK Kyzylzhar
Team pages: FK Zhenys · FK Kyzylzhar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
FK Zhenys1.46
FK Kyzylzhar1.09
1X2
FK Zhenys
Draw
FK Kyzylzhar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Zhenys
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
FK Kyzylzhar
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Zhenys
1–2–3
FK Kyzylzhar
(6 last)
- FK Zhenys2-0FK Kyzylzhar
- FK Kyzylzhar4-0FK Zhenys
- FK Kyzylzhar1-1FK Zhenys
- FK Zhenys0-0FK Kyzylzhar
- FK Zhenys0-1FK Kyzylzhar
- FK Kyzylzhar4-0FK Zhenys
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zhenys 1488 · FK Kyzylzhar 1452
| FK Zhenys | Draw | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Kyzylzhar: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zhenys | FK Kyzylzhar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 0/90/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zhenys 1–2–3 FK Kyzylzhar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Zhenys | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 12/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FK Zhenys |
| 16/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Zhenys |
| 18/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 10/11/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 06/04/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FK Zhenys |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 58 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 50 | 15 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 32 | 42 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 35 |
| 7 | FK Zhenys | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 32 |
| 8 | Tobol Kostanay | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 32 | 31 |
| 9 | FK Ulytau | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 26 |
| 11 | FK Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 23 |
| 13 | FK Kyzylzhar | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 23 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 34 | 22 |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 43 | 22 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 32 | 20 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Zhenys | FK Kyzylzhar |
|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | 0-3 L | 2-4 L |
| FK Aktobe | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Zhetysu | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Elimai Semey | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FC Astana | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kyzylzhar (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zhenys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
FK Kyzylzhar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 18/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 17/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zhenys vs FK Kyzylzhar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zhenys win (45%). Probabilities: FK Zhenys 45%, draw 28%, FK Kyzylzhar 27%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zhenys vs FK Kyzylzhar?
The model expects 2.55 goals (FK Zhenys 1.46 · FK Kyzylzhar 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zhenys vs FK Kyzylzhar?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.