Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 05/09, 13:00
Prediction: Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs Ordabasy
Team pages: Okzhetpes Kokshetau · Ordabasy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.17
Ordabasy2.15
1X2
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Draw
Ordabasy
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Ordabasy
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
0–6
Ordabasy
(6 last)
- Ordabasy2-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Ordabasy7-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau0-1Ordabasy
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau0-4Ordabasy
- Ordabasy1-0Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-3Ordabasy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1494 · Ordabasy 1616
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Draw | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| Market | 19% | 22% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ordabasy (rating 1494 vs 1616).
- H2H favours Ordabasy: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 0–0–6 Ordabasy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 19/10/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 7-1 HT 4-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 21/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ordabasy |
| 10/07/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Ordabasy |
| 21/05/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 30/11/20 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Ordabasy |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 46 | 16 | 55 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 44 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 24 | 42 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | Tobol Kostanay | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 28 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 26 |
| 11 | FK Kyzylzhar | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 35 | 23 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 20 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 20 |
| 15 | FC Altai Semey | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 34 | 19 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | 19 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|
| FC Altai Semey | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Zhetysu | 2-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Tobol Kostanay | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Kairat Almaty | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ordabasy (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Ordabasy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs Ordabasy?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ordabasy win (59%). Probabilities: Okzhetpes Kokshetau 19%, draw 22%, Ordabasy 59%.
How many goals are expected in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs Ordabasy?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.17 · Ordabasy 2.15), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs Ordabasy?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.