Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: FC Elimai Semey vs Zhetysu
Team pages: FC Elimai Semey · Zhetysu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
FC Elimai Semey1.86
Zhetysu0.86
1X2
FC Elimai Semey
Draw
Zhetysu
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Elimai Semey
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Zhetysu
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Elimai Semey
3–1–1
Zhetysu
(5 last)
- Zhetysu0-1FC Elimai Semey
- FC Elimai Semey3-0Zhetysu
- Zhetysu0-3FC Elimai Semey
- Zhetysu2-0FC Elimai Semey
- FC Elimai Semey1-1Zhetysu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Elimai Semey 1493 · Zhetysu 1422
| FC Elimai Semey | Draw | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Elimai Semey (rating 1493 vs 1422).
- H2H favours FC Elimai Semey: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 13 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Elimai Semey | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.4 | 6.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Elimai Semey 3–1–1 Zhetysu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 26/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Zhetysu |
| 26/04/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 0-3 HT 0-2 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 03/10/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 30/06/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Zhetysu |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 50 | 15 | 57 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 32 | 42 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | 32 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 32 | 31 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 29 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 34 | 26 |
| 11 | FK Atyrau | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 23 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 36 | 23 |
| 13 | FC Altai Semey | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 34 | 22 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 41 | 22 |
| 15 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 20 |
| 16 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 32 | 20 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Elimai Semey | Zhetysu |
|---|---|---|
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Zhenys | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Ordabasy | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| FK Kyzylzhar | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Atyrau | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Elimai Semey (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Elimai Semey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 16/08 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 04/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Zhetysu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 18/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Elimai Semey vs Zhetysu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Elimai Semey win (60%). Probabilities: FC Elimai Semey 60%, draw 24%, Zhetysu 16%.
How many goals are expected in FC Elimai Semey vs Zhetysu?
The model expects 2.72 goals (FC Elimai Semey 1.86 · Zhetysu 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Elimai Semey vs Zhetysu?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.