Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 18/09, 16:00
Prediction: FK Kyzylzhar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
Team pages: FK Kyzylzhar · Kaisar Kyzylorda
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
FK Kyzylzhar1.37
Kaisar Kyzylorda1.08
1X2
FK Kyzylzhar
Draw
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Kyzylzhar
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Kyzylzhar
4–1–1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(6 last)
- Kaisar Kyzylorda0-0FK Kyzylzhar
- Kaisar Kyzylorda1-0FK Kyzylzhar
- FK Kyzylzhar2-1Kaisar Kyzylorda
- FK Kyzylzhar1-0Kaisar Kyzylorda
- FK Kyzylzhar6-2Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda0-3FK Kyzylzhar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Kyzylzhar 1450 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1457
| FK Kyzylzhar | Draw | Kaisar Kyzylorda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 30% | 28% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Kyzylzhar: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Kyzylzhar | Kaisar Kyzylorda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/90/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.5 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kyzylzhar 4–1–1 Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 26/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Kyzylzhar |
| 27/04/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 12/04/25 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Kyzylzhar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 02/11/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kyzylzhar | 6-2 HT 2-1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 06/03/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FK Kyzylzhar |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 58 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 42 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 35 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 34 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Ulytau | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 26 |
| 11 | FC Altai Semey | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 34 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 33 | 23 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 23 |
| 15 | FK Kyzylzhar | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 43 | 22 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Kyzylzhar | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
|---|---|---|
| FK Atyrau | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Aktobe | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Tobol Kostanay | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| FC Elimai Semey | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Kyzylzhar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 18/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 11 | L |
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 25/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 12/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Kyzylzhar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kyzylzhar win (43%). Probabilities: FK Kyzylzhar 43%, draw 29%, Kaisar Kyzylorda 29%.
How many goals are expected in FK Kyzylzhar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
The model expects 2.45 goals (FK Kyzylzhar 1.37 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Kyzylzhar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.