Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 18/09, 13:00
Prediction: Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Zhenys
Team pages: Okzhetpes Kokshetau · FK Zhenys
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.7
FK Zhenys1.23
1X2
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Draw
FK Zhenys
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
FK Zhenys
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
1–4–1
FK Zhenys
(6 last)
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau2-3FK Zhenys
- FK Zhenys1-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- FK Zhenys0-0Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-1FK Zhenys
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-1FK Zhenys
- FK Zhenys0-3Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1495 · FK Zhenys 1509
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Draw | FK Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | FK Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.1 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1–4–1 FK Zhenys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Kazakhstan Cup | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 2-3 HT 1-1 | FK Zhenys |
| 05/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 25/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 26/04/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Zhenys |
| 30/07/22 Kazakhstan Division 1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Zhenys |
| 24/04/22 Kazakhstan Division 1 | FK Zhenys | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 58 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 42 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 35 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 34 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Ulytau | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 26 |
| 11 | FC Altai Semey | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 34 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 33 | 23 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 23 |
| 15 | FK Kyzylzhar | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 43 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | FK Zhenys |
|---|---|---|
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Astana | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Altai Semey | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Aktobe | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Zhetysu | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Kairat Almaty | 0-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Zhenys (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
FK Zhenys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/09 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Zhenys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (47%). Probabilities: Okzhetpes Kokshetau 47%, draw 26%, FK Zhenys 27%.
How many goals are expected in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Zhenys?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.7 · FK Zhenys 1.23), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Zhenys?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.