Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 18/09, 14:00
Prediction: Zhetysu vs FK Kaspyi Aktau
Team pages: Zhetysu · FK Kaspyi Aktau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Zhetysu1.47
FK Kaspyi Aktau1.21
1X2
Zhetysu
Draw
FK Kaspyi Aktau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Zhetysu
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
FK Kaspyi Aktau
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zhetysu
3–1–2
FK Kaspyi Aktau
(6 last)
- FK Kaspyi Aktau0-1Zhetysu
- FK Kaspyi Aktau1-2Zhetysu
- Zhetysu3-2FK Kaspyi Aktau
- Zhetysu0-0FK Kaspyi Aktau
- FK Kaspyi Aktau1-0Zhetysu
- Zhetysu0-1FK Kaspyi Aktau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhetysu 1423 · FK Kaspyi Aktau 1495
| Zhetysu | Draw | FK Kaspyi Aktau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kaspyi Aktau (rating 1423 vs 1495).
- H2H favours Zhetysu: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zhetysu | FK Kaspyi Aktau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.1 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhetysu 3–1–2 FK Kaspyi Aktau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Zhetysu |
| 16/07/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Zhetysu |
| 04/06/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 3-2 HT 1-2 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 01/08/21 Kazakhstan Cup | Zhetysu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 25/07/21 Kazakhstan Cup | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zhetysu |
| 12/06/21 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 58 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 42 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 35 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 34 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Ulytau | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 26 |
| 11 | FC Altai Semey | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 34 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 33 | 23 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 23 |
| 15 | FK Kyzylzhar | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 43 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zhetysu | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
|---|---|---|
| FC Elimai Semey | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| FK Ulytau | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Zhenys | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Ordabasy | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| FK Atyrau | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FK Aktobe | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kaspyi Aktau (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhetysu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 18/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
FK Kaspyi Aktau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 18/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 11/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhetysu vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zhetysu win (42%). Probabilities: Zhetysu 42%, draw 28%, FK Kaspyi Aktau 30%.
How many goals are expected in Zhetysu vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Zhetysu 1.47 · FK Kaspyi Aktau 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zhetysu vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.