Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FC Altai Semey
Team pages: FK Kaspyi Aktau · FC Altai Semey
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
FK Kaspyi Aktau1.59
FC Altai Semey1.28
1X2
FK Kaspyi Aktau
Draw
FC Altai Semey
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Kaspyi Aktau
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Altai Semey
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Kaspyi Aktau
2–1–2
FC Altai Semey
(5 last)
- FC Altai Semey0-0FK Kaspyi Aktau
- FC Altai Semey5-1FK Kaspyi Aktau
- FK Kaspyi Aktau1-2FC Altai Semey
- FC Altai Semey0-3FK Kaspyi Aktau
- FK Kaspyi Aktau4-1FC Altai Semey
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Kaspyi Aktau 1497 · FC Altai Semey 1470
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | Draw | FC Altai Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | FC Altai Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kaspyi Aktau 2–1–2 FC Altai Semey
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Altai Semey | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 07/08/25 Kazakhstan Division 1 | FC Altai Semey | 5-1 HT 3-0 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 09/05/25 Kazakhstan Division 1 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Altai Semey |
| 10/10/24 Kazakhstan Division 1 | FC Altai Semey | 0-3 HT 0-2 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 12/04/24 Kazakhstan Division 1 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 4-1 HT 2-1 | FC Altai Semey |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51 | 18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 45 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 42 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 34 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 32 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 29 |
| 11 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Altai Semey | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 24 |
| 14 | FK Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 40 | 24 |
| 15 | FK Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 44 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Kaspyi Aktau | FC Altai Semey |
|---|---|---|
| Zhetysu | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Aktobe | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| FK Ulytau | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Zhenys | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Ordabasy | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kaspyi Aktau (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Kaspyi Aktau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 18/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 11/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
FC Altai Semey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 11/07 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FC Altai Semey?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kaspyi Aktau win (44%). Probabilities: FK Kaspyi Aktau 44%, draw 26%, FC Altai Semey 30%.
How many goals are expected in FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FC Altai Semey?
The model expects 2.87 goals (FK Kaspyi Aktau 1.59 · FC Altai Semey 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FC Altai Semey?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.