Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: FK Zhenys vs FK Atyrau
Team pages: FK Zhenys · FK Atyrau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
FK Zhenys1.49
FK Atyrau0.79
1X2
FK Zhenys
Draw
FK Atyrau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Zhenys
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FK Atyrau
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Zhenys
1–2–2
FK Atyrau
(5 last)
- FK Atyrau0-0FK Zhenys
- FK Atyrau1-1FK Zhenys
- FK Zhenys2-0FK Atyrau
- FK Atyrau2-1FK Zhenys
- FK Zhenys0-1FK Atyrau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zhenys 1489 · FK Atyrau 1421
| FK Zhenys | Draw | FK Atyrau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zhenys (rating 1489 vs 1421).
- H2H favours FK Atyrau: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zhenys | FK Atyrau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zhenys 1–2–2 FK Atyrau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Zhenys |
| 18/10/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Zhenys |
| 21/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
| 21/09/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Atyrau | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Zhenys |
| 02/06/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Zhenys | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Atyrau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51 | 18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 45 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 42 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 34 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 32 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 29 |
| 11 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Altai Semey | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 24 |
| 14 | FK Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 40 | 24 |
| 15 | FK Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 44 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Zhenys | FK Atyrau |
|---|---|---|
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| FK Kyzylzhar | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Kairat Almaty | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| FK Aktobe | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Zhetysu | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zhenys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/09 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
FK Atyrau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zhenys vs FK Atyrau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zhenys win (53%). Probabilities: FK Zhenys 53%, draw 27%, FK Atyrau 19%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zhenys vs FK Atyrau?
The model expects 2.27 goals (FK Zhenys 1.49 · FK Atyrau 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zhenys vs FK Atyrau?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.