Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 11/10, 16:00
Prediction: Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy
Team pages: Kaisar Kyzylorda · Ordabasy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Kaisar Kyzylorda0.9
Ordabasy1.85
1X2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw
Ordabasy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Ordabasy
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1–1–4
Ordabasy
(6 last)
- Ordabasy2-0Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda1-1Ordabasy
- Ordabasy5-0Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda2-1Ordabasy
- Ordabasy2-1Kaisar Kyzylorda
- Kaisar Kyzylorda2-3Ordabasy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1445 · Ordabasy 1580
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | Draw | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 25% | 59% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ordabasy (rating 1445 vs 1580).
- H2H favours Ordabasy: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.7 | 2.2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1–1–4 Ordabasy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 10/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ordabasy |
| 11/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 31/08/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ordabasy |
| 29/06/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Ordabasy | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda |
| 13/08/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Ordabasy |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51 | 18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 45 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 42 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 34 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 32 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 29 |
| 11 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Altai Semey | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 24 |
| 14 | FK Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 40 | 24 |
| 15 | FK Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 44 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|
| FK Kyzylzhar | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| FK Atyrau | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Altai Semey | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Tobol Kostanay | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Elimai Semey | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ordabasy (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaisar Kyzylorda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 25/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 12/07 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
Ordabasy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ordabasy win (59%). Probabilities: Kaisar Kyzylorda 17%, draw 23%, Ordabasy 59%.
How many goals are expected in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Kaisar Kyzylorda 0.9 · Ordabasy 1.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ordabasy?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.