Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 24/10, 12:00
Prediction: Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau
Team pages: Okzhetpes Kokshetau · FK Kaspyi Aktau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Okzhetpes Kokshetau2
FK Kaspyi Aktau1.14
1X2
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Draw
FK Kaspyi Aktau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
FK Kaspyi Aktau
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
3–1–2
FK Kaspyi Aktau
(6 last)
- FK Kaspyi Aktau1-3Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- FK Kaspyi Aktau0-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-0FK Kaspyi Aktau
- Okzhetpes Kokshetau3-3FK Kaspyi Aktau
- FK Kaspyi Aktau2-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
- FK Kaspyi Aktau2-1Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1541 · FK Kaspyi Aktau 1489
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | Draw | FK Kaspyi Aktau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Okzhetpes Kokshetau (rating 1541 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Okzhetpes Kokshetau: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | FK Kaspyi Aktau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.5 | 1.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 3–1–2 FK Kaspyi Aktau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 17/07/24 Kazakhstan Division 1 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 14/06/24 Kazakhstan Division 1 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 26/08/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 3-3 HT 2-1 | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
| 15/04/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
| 21/11/20 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 67 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 57 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 29 | 52 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 48 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 45 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 44 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 40 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 35 |
| 9 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 39 | 33 |
| 10 | FK Zhenys | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 38 | 32 |
| 11 | FK Atyrau | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 32 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kyzylzhar | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 41 | 27 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 42 | 26 |
| 14 | FC Altai Semey | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 39 | 26 |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 46 | 25 |
| 16 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 24 | 39 | 24 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | FK Kaspyi Aktau |
|---|---|---|
| FK Ulytau | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Zhenys | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Irtysh Pavlodar | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| FC Astana | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Altai Semey | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Aktobe | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 16/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
FK Kaspyi Aktau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (56%). Probabilities: Okzhetpes Kokshetau 56%, draw 24%, FK Kaspyi Aktau 20%.
How many goals are expected in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Okzhetpes Kokshetau 2 · FK Kaspyi Aktau 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Okzhetpes Kokshetau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.