Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 31/10, 11:00

Prediction: FK Zhenys vs Kaisar Kyzylorda

Team pages: FK Zhenys · Kaisar Kyzylorda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

FK Zhenys1.41

Kaisar Kyzylorda1.43

1X2

36% 28% 36%

FK Zhenys Draw Kaisar Kyzylorda

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zhenys 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWLLLD

Kaisar Kyzylorda 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWDLLD

Head-to-head

FK Zhenys 2–3–1 Kaisar Kyzylorda (6 last)

FK Zhenys3-2Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kaisar Kyzylorda3-1FK Zhenys
Kaisar Kyzylorda1-1FK Zhenys
FK Zhenys2-2Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kaisar Kyzylorda0-0FK Zhenys
FK Zhenys1-0Kaisar Kyzylorda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zhenys 1472 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1441

	FK Zhenys	Draw	Kaisar Kyzylorda
Our model	36%	27%	37%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Zhenys: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zhenys	Kaisar Kyzylorda
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	1.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.10

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:56 +18’	2.55	3.10	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zhenys 2–3–1 Kaisar Kyzylorda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/08/26 Kazakhstan Cup	FK Zhenys	3-2 HT 2-0	Kaisar Kyzylorda
29/07/26 Kazakhstan Cup	Kaisar Kyzylorda	3-1 HT 2-1	FK Zhenys
08/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	Kaisar Kyzylorda	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Zhenys
26/10/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Zhenys	2-2 HT 1-1	Kaisar Kyzylorda
02/03/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	Kaisar Kyzylorda	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Zhenys
14/09/24 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Zhenys	1-0 HT 1-0	Kaisar Kyzylorda

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	29	21	5	3	59	21	68
2	Kairat Almaty	29	19	7	3	59	22	64
3	FC Astana	29	15	8	6	46	29	53
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	29	15	6	8	45	37	51
5	FK Aktobe	29	13	7	9	44	37	46
6	FC Elimai Semey	29	12	9	8	42	40	45
7	Tobol Kostanay	29	12	5	12	40	39	41
8	FK Ulytau	29	9	8	12	27	35	35
9	FK Zhenys	29	8	9	12	30	39	33
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	29	9	6	14	31	42	33
11	FK Kyzylzhar	29	8	6	15	29	41	30
12	Irtysh Pavlodar	29	7	8	14	29	44	29
13	FK Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24	35	27
14	FC Altai Semey	29	6	9	14	30	41	27
15	Zhetysu	29	6	8	15	29	47	26
16	Kaisar Kyzylorda	29	4	13	12	24	39	25

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Zhenys	Kaisar Kyzylorda
Ordabasy	1-1 D	1-4 L
Tobol Kostanay	2-4 L	2-3 L
FK Atyrau	1-2 L	1-0 W
Okzhetpes Kokshetau	1-3 L	2-3 L
FK Kyzylzhar	3-1 W	1-1 D
FK Aktobe	0-1 L	1-2 L
FC Altai Semey	1-0 W	0-2 L
Zhetysu	4-1 W	1-2 L
FC Elimai Semey	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FK Zhenys (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Zhenys

DWWLLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
17/10	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	2-3	2-4	5	5	L
10/10	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	1-2	1	7	L
18/09	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
12/09	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	3-1	6	6	W
09/09	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-3	2	4	L
05/09	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
29/08	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
15/08	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	4-1	5	6	W
02/08	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	6	D

Kaisar Kyzylorda

DLLLLWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
17/10	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
11/10	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-4	4	3	L
18/09	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
12/09	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
06/09	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
29/08	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	2-3	7	10	L
25/08	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	2-3	11	5	L
15/08	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
26/07	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zhenys vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zhenys win (36%). Probabilities: FK Zhenys 36%, draw 28%, Kaisar Kyzylorda 36%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zhenys vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?

The model expects 2.84 goals (FK Zhenys 1.41 · Kaisar Kyzylorda 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zhenys vs Kaisar Kyzylorda?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.