Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 31/10, 11:00

Prediction: FK Ulytau vs FK Atyrau

Team pages: FK Ulytau · FK Atyrau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

FK Ulytau0.73

FK Atyrau1.68

1X2

15% 25% 60%

FK Ulytau Draw FK Atyrau

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ulytau 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLDWLL

FK Atyrau 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLWLDL

Head-to-head

FK Ulytau 1–1–1 FK Atyrau (3 last)

FK Atyrau0-0FK Ulytau
FK Ulytau1-5FK Atyrau
FK Atyrau0-1FK Ulytau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Ulytau 1455 · FK Atyrau 1443

	FK Ulytau	Draw	FK Atyrau
Our model	15%	26%	59%
Market	16%	24%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ulytau	FK Atyrau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

15.75

X3.70

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:52 +22’	5.75	3.70	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ulytau 1–1–1 FK Atyrau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Atyrau	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Ulytau
27/09/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Ulytau	1-5 HT 1-0	FK Atyrau
14/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FK Atyrau	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Ulytau

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	29	21	5	3	59	21	68
2	Kairat Almaty	29	19	7	3	59	22	64
3	FC Astana	29	15	8	6	46	29	53
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	29	15	6	8	45	37	51
5	FK Aktobe	29	13	7	9	44	37	46
6	FC Elimai Semey	29	12	9	8	42	40	45
7	Tobol Kostanay	29	12	5	12	40	39	41
8	FK Ulytau	29	9	8	12	27	35	35
9	FK Zhenys	29	8	9	12	30	39	33
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	29	9	6	14	31	42	33
11	FK Kyzylzhar	29	8	6	15	29	41	30
12	Irtysh Pavlodar	29	7	8	14	29	44	29
13	FK Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24	35	27
14	FC Altai Semey	29	6	9	14	30	41	27
15	Zhetysu	29	6	8	15	29	47	26
16	Kaisar Kyzylorda	29	4	13	12	24	39	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ulytau	FK Atyrau
FK Kyzylzhar	0-1 L	1-0 W
FC Elimai Semey	1-2 L	1-2 L
Okzhetpes Kokshetau	2-0 W	0-2 L
FK Aktobe	2-2 D	1-1 D
FC Altai Semey	0-3 L	1-1 D
FC Astana	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Atyrau (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ulytau

LDLWLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
18/10	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
11/10	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	2-0	5	7	W
18/09	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	2-1	2-2	6	5	D
13/09	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-3	9	5	L
06/09	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
29/08	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	7	W
15/08	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
08/08	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
02/08	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-2	5	5	L

FK Atyrau

DLLWLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	2-3	7	4	L
18/10	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
14/10	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
10/10	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	2-1	5	7	W
17/09	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
12/09	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
05/09	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
30/08	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
16/08	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
09/08	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ulytau vs FK Atyrau?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Atyrau win (60%). Probabilities: FK Ulytau 15%, draw 25%, FK Atyrau 60%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ulytau vs FK Atyrau?

The model expects 2.41 goals (FK Ulytau 0.73 · FK Atyrau 1.68), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ulytau vs FK Atyrau?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.