Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 31/10, 11:00

Prediction: FC Elimai Semey vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Team pages: FC Elimai Semey · Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

FC Elimai Semey1.24

Okzhetpes Kokshetau1.69

1X2

27% 26% 47%

FC Elimai Semey Draw Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Elimai Semey 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLWWD

Okzhetpes Kokshetau 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

FC Elimai Semey 0–2–1 Okzhetpes Kokshetau (3 last)

Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-1FC Elimai Semey
Okzhetpes Kokshetau1-1FC Elimai Semey
FC Elimai Semey0-2Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Elimai Semey 1521 · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1549

	FC Elimai Semey	Draw	Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Our model	27%	26%	47%
Market	27%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Elimai Semey	Okzhetpes Kokshetau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	1.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.50

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +5’	3.30	3.50	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Elimai Semey 0–2–1 Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Elimai Semey
02/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Elimai Semey
04/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Elimai Semey	0-2 HT 0-1	Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	29	21	5	3	59	21	68
2	Kairat Almaty	29	19	7	3	59	22	64
3	FC Astana	29	15	8	6	46	29	53
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	29	15	6	8	45	37	51
5	FK Aktobe	29	13	7	9	44	37	46
6	FC Elimai Semey	29	12	9	8	42	40	45
7	Tobol Kostanay	29	12	5	12	40	39	41
8	FK Ulytau	29	9	8	12	27	35	35
9	FK Zhenys	29	8	9	12	30	39	33
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	29	9	6	14	31	42	33
11	FK Kyzylzhar	29	8	6	15	29	41	30
12	Irtysh Pavlodar	29	7	8	14	29	44	29
13	FK Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24	35	27
14	FC Altai Semey	29	6	9	14	30	41	27
15	Zhetysu	29	6	8	15	29	47	26
16	Kaisar Kyzylorda	29	4	13	12	24	39	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Elimai Semey	Okzhetpes Kokshetau
FC Altai Semey	2-2 D	4-1 W
FK Ulytau	2-1 W	0-2 L
FK Atyrau	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Astana	0-4 L	1-2 L
FK Kaspyi Aktau	2-2 D	3-0 W
Irtysh Pavlodar	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Okzhetpes Kokshetau (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Elimai Semey

WDLLWWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
18/10	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-1	16	3	W
14/10	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
10/10	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-3	7	6	L
17/09	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
12/09	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	2-1	2-1	0	0	W
06/09	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	0-4	2	5	L
31/08	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	10	L
16/08	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	2-2	6	7	D
09/08	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	3-1	6	8	W

Okzhetpes Kokshetau

WLWWWLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
17/10	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
11/10	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
18/09	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
13/09	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	1-2	1	1	L
05/09	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	2-1	4	7	W
29/08	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	2-1	3-2	0	10	W
16/08	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
09/08	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-2	6	4	L
02/08	FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	4-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Elimai Semey vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Okzhetpes Kokshetau win (47%). Probabilities: FC Elimai Semey 27%, draw 26%, Okzhetpes Kokshetau 47%.

How many goals are expected in FC Elimai Semey vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?

The model expects 2.93 goals (FC Elimai Semey 1.24 · Okzhetpes Kokshetau 1.69), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Elimai Semey vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.