Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 31/10, 11:00

Prediction: Zhetysu vs FC Astana

Team pages: Zhetysu · FC Astana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Zhetysu0.96

FC Astana1.7

1X2

20% 26% 54%

Zhetysu Draw FC Astana

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Zhetysu 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLLWD

FC Astana 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLWDD

Head-to-head

Zhetysu 1–5 FC Astana (6 last)

FC Astana4-1Zhetysu
Zhetysu0-2FC Astana
FC Astana3-0Zhetysu
FC Astana5-0Zhetysu
Zhetysu2-1FC Astana
Zhetysu0-2FC Astana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhetysu 1438 · FC Astana 1557

	Zhetysu	Draw	FC Astana
Our model	20%	26%	54%
Market	21%	25%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Astana (rating 1438 vs 1557).
H2H favours FC Astana: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zhetysu	FC Astana
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.8	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.60

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:55 +19’	4.33	3.60	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhetysu 1–0–5 FC Astana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Astana	4-1 HT 3-0	Zhetysu
06/07/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	Zhetysu	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Astana
30/03/25 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Astana	3-0 HT 2-0	Zhetysu
10/11/24 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Astana	5-0 HT 5-0	Zhetysu
26/05/24 Kazakhstan Cup	Zhetysu	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Astana
05/03/24 Kazakhstan Premier League	Zhetysu	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Astana

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	29	21	5	3	59	21	68
2	Kairat Almaty	29	19	7	3	59	22	64
3	FC Astana	29	15	8	6	46	29	53
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	29	15	6	8	45	37	51
5	FK Aktobe	29	13	7	9	44	37	46
6	FC Elimai Semey	29	12	9	8	42	40	45
7	Tobol Kostanay	29	12	5	12	40	39	41
8	FK Ulytau	29	9	8	12	27	35	35
9	FK Zhenys	29	8	9	12	30	39	33
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	29	9	6	14	31	42	33
11	FK Kyzylzhar	29	8	6	15	29	41	30
12	Irtysh Pavlodar	29	7	8	14	29	44	29
13	FK Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24	35	27
14	FC Altai Semey	29	6	9	14	30	41	27
15	Zhetysu	29	6	8	15	29	47	26
16	Kaisar Kyzylorda	29	4	13	12	24	39	25

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zhetysu	FC Astana
Tobol Kostanay	1-1 D	1-2 L
Kaisar Kyzylorda	2-1 W	0-0 D
Kairat Almaty	0-1 L	1-0 W
FK Kaspyi Aktau	0-1 L	2-2 D
FC Elimai Semey	1-2 L	4-0 W
Irtysh Pavlodar	1-0 W	1-0 W
Ordabasy	0-4 L	0-1 L
FK Atyrau	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Astana (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhetysu

DLLLWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
17/10	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
10/10	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
18/09	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
12/09	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-2	0	0	L
05/09	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
29/08	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-3	8	7	L
15/08	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	1-4	0	6	L
08/08	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-4	1	7	L
01/08	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	9	D

FC Astana

WDWWLWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
18/10	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	2-2	10	3	D
14/10	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
10/10	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
17/09	Kairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
12/09	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
06/09	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
30/08	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
16/08	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
09/08	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	2-1	2-1	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhetysu vs FC Astana?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Astana win (54%). Probabilities: Zhetysu 20%, draw 26%, FC Astana 54%.

How many goals are expected in Zhetysu vs FC Astana?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Zhetysu 0.96 · FC Astana 1.7), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zhetysu vs FC Astana?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.