Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 31/10, 11:00

Prediction: Kairat Almaty vs FC Altai Semey

Team pages: Kairat Almaty · FC Altai Semey

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Kairat Almaty2.01

FC Altai Semey1.05

1X2

59% 22% 19%

Kairat Almaty Draw FC Altai Semey

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kairat Almaty 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLLWWD

FC Altai Semey 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLLDD

Head-to-head

Kairat Almaty 1–0 FC Altai Semey (1 last)

FC Altai Semey0-1Kairat Almaty

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kairat Almaty 1546 · FC Altai Semey 1459

	Kairat Almaty	Draw	FC Altai Semey
Our model	58%	23%	18%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kairat Almaty (rating 1546 vs 1459).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kairat Almaty	FC Altai Semey
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:48 +18’	1.53	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kairat Almaty 1–0–0 FC Altai Semey

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League	FC Altai Semey	0-1 HT 0-0	Kairat Almaty

Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ordabasy	29	21	5	3	59	21	68
2	Kairat Almaty	29	19	7	3	59	22	64
3	FC Astana	29	15	8	6	46	29	53
4	Okzhetpes Kokshetau	29	15	6	8	45	37	51
5	FK Aktobe	29	13	7	9	44	37	46
6	FC Elimai Semey	29	12	9	8	42	40	45
7	Tobol Kostanay	29	12	5	12	40	39	41
8	FK Ulytau	29	9	8	12	27	35	35
9	FK Zhenys	29	8	9	12	30	39	33
10	FK Kaspyi Aktau	29	9	6	14	31	42	33
11	FK Kyzylzhar	29	8	6	15	29	41	30
12	Irtysh Pavlodar	29	7	8	14	29	44	29
13	FK Atyrau	29	5	12	12	24	35	27
14	FC Altai Semey	29	6	9	14	30	41	27
15	Zhetysu	29	6	8	15	29	47	26
16	Kaisar Kyzylorda	29	4	13	12	24	39	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kairat Almaty	FC Altai Semey
Irtysh Pavlodar	5-0 W	1-2 L
FK Zhenys	3-0 W	0-1 L
FK Kaspyi Aktau	3-0 W	1-2 L
FC Elimai Semey	2-0 W	2-2 D
FK Ulytau	3-1 W	3-0 W
Ordabasy	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kairat Almaty (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kairat Almaty

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Aktobe Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
18/10	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	3-0	5-0	3	4	W
10/10	Zhetysu Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
17/09	FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
13/09	Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-4	6	2	L
09/09	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
05/09	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
31/08	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	2-0	2-0	4	10	W
15/08	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
26/07	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	4	W

FC Altai Semey

LWLLWWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
18/10	FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
11/10	FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
18/09	Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
13/09	FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
06/09	Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
29/08	FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
15/08	Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League	0-2	1-3	4	9	L
08/08	FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	3-0	8	2	W
02/08	Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League	0-1	1-4	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kairat Almaty vs FC Altai Semey?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kairat Almaty win (59%). Probabilities: Kairat Almaty 59%, draw 22%, FC Altai Semey 19%.

How many goals are expected in Kairat Almaty vs FC Altai Semey?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Kairat Almaty 2.01 · FC Altai Semey 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs FC Altai Semey?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.