Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 15/08, 15:00
Prediction: Kairat Almaty vs FK Ulytau
Team pages: Kairat Almaty · FK Ulytau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Kairat Almaty1.76
FK Ulytau0.67
1X2
Kairat Almaty
Draw
FK Ulytau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Kairat Almaty
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
FK Ulytau
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kairat Almaty
2–1–0
FK Ulytau
(3 last)
- FK Ulytau1-1Kairat Almaty
- Kairat Almaty1-0FK Ulytau
- FK Ulytau1-4Kairat Almaty
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kairat Almaty 1551 · FK Ulytau 1471
| Kairat Almaty | Draw | FK Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | 65% | 19% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kairat Almaty (rating 1551 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Kairat Almaty: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kairat Almaty | FK Ulytau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kairat Almaty 2–1–0 FK Ulytau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Ulytau | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Kairat Almaty |
| 02/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kairat Almaty | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Ulytau |
| 03/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FK Ulytau | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Kairat Almaty |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | FK Kyzylzhar | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 30 | 23 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 11 | Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 20 |
| 14 | Zhetysu | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 19 |
| 15 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
| 16 | FC Altai Semey | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 17 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kairat Almaty
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 04/08 | Levski Sofia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Omonia Nicosia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Omonia Nicosia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | Sutjeska Niksic UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/07 | Sutjeska Niksic UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
FK Ulytau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kairat Almaty vs FK Ulytau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kairat Almaty win (64%). Probabilities: Kairat Almaty 64%, draw 22%, FK Ulytau 14%.
How many goals are expected in Kairat Almaty vs FK Ulytau?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Kairat Almaty 1.76 · FK Ulytau 0.67), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs FK Ulytau?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.