Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: FC Elimai Semey vs Kairat Almaty
Team pages: FC Elimai Semey · Kairat Almaty
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
FC Elimai Semey1.3
Kairat Almaty1.51
1X2
FC Elimai Semey
Draw
Kairat Almaty
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Elimai Semey
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Kairat Almaty
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Elimai Semey
2–2–1
Kairat Almaty
(5 last)
- Kairat Almaty2-2FC Elimai Semey
- Kairat Almaty2-3FC Elimai Semey
- FC Elimai Semey1-0Kairat Almaty
- Kairat Almaty4-1FC Elimai Semey
- FC Elimai Semey1-1Kairat Almaty
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Elimai Semey 1511 · Kairat Almaty 1536
| FC Elimai Semey | Draw | Kairat Almaty | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Elimai Semey: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Elimai Semey | Kairat Almaty | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 2.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Elimai Semey 2–2–1 Kairat Almaty
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kairat Almaty | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 16/08/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kairat Almaty | 2-3 HT 2-1 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 18/05/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kairat Almaty |
| 03/08/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kairat Almaty | 4-1 HT 2-0 | FC Elimai Semey |
| 19/05/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | FC Elimai Semey | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Kairat Almaty |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 46 | 16 | 55 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 48 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 24 | 42 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Ulytau | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | FK Zhenys | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | Tobol Kostanay | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 28 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 26 |
| 11 | FK Kyzylzhar | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 35 | 23 |
| 12 | FK Atyrau | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 20 |
| 14 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 20 |
| 15 | FC Altai Semey | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 34 | 19 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | 19 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Elimai Semey | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Kaisar Kyzylorda | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Ordabasy | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Kyzylzhar | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| FK Atyrau | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Kairat Almaty (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Elimai Semey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 04/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
Kairat Almaty
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 17/06 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Kaisar Kyzylorda Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Elimai Semey vs Kairat Almaty?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kairat Almaty win (42%). Probabilities: FC Elimai Semey 32%, draw 27%, Kairat Almaty 42%.
How many goals are expected in FC Elimai Semey vs Kairat Almaty?
The model expects 2.81 goals (FC Elimai Semey 1.3 · Kairat Almaty 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Elimai Semey vs Kairat Almaty?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.