Football · Kazakhstan Premier League · 10/10, 14:00
Prediction: Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu
Team pages: Kairat Almaty · Zhetysu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Kairat Almaty2.28
Zhetysu0.81
1X2
Kairat Almaty
Draw
Zhetysu
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kairat Almaty
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Zhetysu
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kairat Almaty
3–3–0
Zhetysu
(6 last)
- Zhetysu0-0Kairat Almaty
- Kairat Almaty5-0Zhetysu
- Zhetysu2-2Kairat Almaty
- Zhetysu1-2Kairat Almaty
- Kairat Almaty0-0Zhetysu
- Zhetysu1-2Kairat Almaty
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kairat Almaty 1519 · Zhetysu 1407
| Kairat Almaty | Draw | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| Market | 71% | 17% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kairat Almaty (rating 1519 vs 1407).
- H2H favours Kairat Almaty: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kairat Almaty | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 3.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kairat Almaty 3–3–0 Zhetysu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kairat Almaty |
| 05/10/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kairat Almaty | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Zhetysu |
| 14/06/25 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Kairat Almaty |
| 26/10/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Kairat Almaty |
| 06/04/24 Kazakhstan Premier League | Kairat Almaty | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Zhetysu |
| 17/09/23 Kazakhstan Premier League | Zhetysu | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Kairat Almaty |
Standings · Kazakhstan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51 | 18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 45 |
| 5 | FK Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 42 |
| 6 | FC Elimai Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 35 | 34 |
| 8 | FK Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 32 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 32 |
| 10 | FK Kaspyi Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 36 | 29 |
| 11 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Altai Semey | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 24 |
| 14 | FK Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 40 | 24 |
| 15 | FK Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 44 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kairat Almaty | Zhetysu |
|---|---|---|
| FK Zhenys | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| FK Kaspyi Aktau | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Elimai Semey | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Ulytau | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Ordabasy | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| FK Atyrau | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Kairat Almaty (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kairat Almaty
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | FC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 15/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Zhetysu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | FK Kaspyi Aktau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Elimai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Ulytau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Zhenys Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Ordabasy Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | FK Atyrau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | FK Kyzylzhar Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 18/07 | Okzhetpes Kokshetau Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Altai Semey Kazakhstan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kairat Almaty win (70%). Probabilities: Kairat Almaty 70%, draw 18%, Zhetysu 11%.
How many goals are expected in Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Kairat Almaty 2.28 · Zhetysu 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.