Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)
Expected goals: 3.19 (Universidad de Concepcion (W) 0.59 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.59). The model gives 4% home, 11% draw, 84% away. Under 4 goals (62%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-2.
On recent form, Universidad de Concepcion (W) is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Universidad de Chile (W) 7-2-1 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Concepcion (W) won 0 and Universidad de Chile (W) 6.
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Draw | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 80% |
| Market | 3% | 9% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (W) (rating 1449 vs 1571).
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 2.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 3.7 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion (W) 0–0–6 Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 12/09/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 23/04/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 08/09/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) |
| 25/05/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 29/04/23 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 3-6 HT 2-4 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 37 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 17 |
| 8 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 12 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 12 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 4 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Union Espanola (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Palestino (W) | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-7 L | 0-4 L |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 3-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Concepcion (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/06 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion (W) 4%, draw 11%, Universidad de Chile (W) 84%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Universidad de Concepcion (W) 0.59 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.59), with a 62% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.