Prediction: Colo Colo (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)
Expected goals: 3.21 (Colo Colo (W) 2.46 · Universidad Catolica (W) 0.75). The model gives 75% home, 16% draw, 9% away. Under 3.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Colo Colo (W) with 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; Universidad Catolica (W) has piled up 8-0-2 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 6 wins for Colo Colo (W) and 0 for Universidad Catolica (W).
| Colo Colo (W) | Draw | Universidad Catolica (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (W) (rating 1655 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Colo Colo (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colo Colo (W) | Universidad Catolica (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 7.5 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo (W) 6–0–0 Universidad Catolica (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Colo Colo (W) |
| 24/08/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-1 | Colo Colo (W) |
| 23/03/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
| 17/08/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-1 | Colo Colo (W) |
| 04/05/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
| 30/09/23 Chile Primera Division Women | Colo Colo (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 37 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 17 |
| 8 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 12 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 12 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 4 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colo Colo (W) | Universidad Catolica (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Huachipato (W) | 7-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 4-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 7-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Palestino (W) | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 9-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 5-0 W | 7-1 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 7 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colo Colo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 9-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Universidad Catolica (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colo Colo (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Colo Colo (W) 75%, draw 16%, Universidad Catolica (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Colo Colo (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Colo Colo (W) 2.46 · Universidad Catolica (W) 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Colo Colo (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.