Prediction: Magallanes (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)

Expected goals: 3.35 (Magallanes (W) 0.67 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.67). The model gives 5% home, 11% draw, 84% away. Under 3.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 0-2.

Over its last 10 matches, Magallanes (W) sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Universidad de Chile (W) arrives on a 7-2-1 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Magallanes (W) and 1 for Universidad de Chile (W).

84%2
5% 11% 84%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magallanes (W) 1465 · Universidad de Chile (W) 1572
Magallanes (W)DrawUniversidad de Chile (W)
Our model6%15%79%
Market4%8%88%
Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.35Magallanes (W) 0.67 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.67
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 55%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (W) (rating 1465 vs 1572).
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Magallanes (W)Universidad de Chile (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.82.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/22/44%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 3.84.2 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.33.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes (W) 001 Universidad de Chile (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/05/26
Chile Primera Division Women
Universidad de Chile (W)3-0
HT 2-0
Magallanes (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Colo Colo (W) 141310 58240
2 Universidad de Chile (W) 141121 391035
3 Universidad Catolica (W) 141103 29833
4 Coquimbo Unido (W) 14842 20528
5 Union Espanola (W) 13733 171224
6 Palestino (W) 13544 211719
7 Huachipato (W) 14536 142418
8 Deportes Iquique (W) 14428 162214
9 Santiago Wanderers (W) 14338 112212
10 Universidad de Concepcion (W) 14338 102612
11 Magallanes (W) 14329 92711
12 Deportes Temuco (W) 142111 11427
13 Deportes Recoleta (W) 141013 13513

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMagallanes (W)Universidad de Chile (W)
Union Espanola (W) 0-3 L 1-1 D
Deportes Recoleta (W) 3-2 W 4-1 W
Coquimbo Unido (W) 0-0 D 0-0 D
Deportes Temuco (W) 2-1 W 6-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magallanes (W)

LWDLWLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Huachipato (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-1 1-1 62 D
27/06 Union Espanola (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-0 0-3 12 L
13/06 Huachipato (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-1 0-2 73 L
30/05 Deportes Iquique (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
1-0 2-1 12 W
24/05 Universidad Catolica (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-3 L
18/05 Deportes Recoleta (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
2-0 3-2 73 W
14/05 Universidad de Chile (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-2 0-3 31 L
08/05 Coquimbo Unido (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-0 0-0 39 D
02/05 Deportes Temuco (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
2-1 2-1 46 W
24/04 Union Espanola (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-1 0-2 22 L

Universidad de Chile (W)

DWDWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
1-0 2-0 101 W
27/06 Deportes Temuco (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
2-0 6-1 70 W
21/06 Colo Colo (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-2 0-4 25 L
13/06 Palestino (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-1 3-1 57 W
23/05 Deportes Recoleta (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
3-0 4-1 113 W
16/05 Santiago Wanderers (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
1-0 3-0 53 W
14/05 Magallanes (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
2-0 3-0 81 W
09/05 Union Espanola (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-0 1-1 108 D
03/05 Universidad de Concepcion (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-0 2-0 71 W
25/04 Coquimbo Unido (W)
Chile Primera Division Women
0-0 0-0 54 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magallanes (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Magallanes (W) 5%, draw 11%, Universidad de Chile (W) 84%.

How many goals are expected in Magallanes (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Magallanes (W) 0.67 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.67), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Magallanes (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.