Prediction: Universidad Catolica (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)
Expected goals: 2.94 (Universidad Catolica (W) 2.47 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 0.47). The model gives 82% home, 13% draw, 5% away. Under 3.25 goals (55%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Universidad Catolica (W) with 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Santiago Wanderers (W) has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Universidad Catolica (W) and 0 for Santiago Wanderers (W), with 1 draw.
| Universidad Catolica (W) | Draw | Santiago Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Catolica (W) (rating 1578 vs 1458).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica (W) | Santiago Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/43/14% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 0.7 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica (W) 1–1–0 Santiago Wanderers (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
| 15/03/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 58 | 2 | 40 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
| 9 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Catolica (W) | Santiago Wanderers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Palestino (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 7-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 7-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Santiago Wanderers (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 26/06 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Catolica (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica (W) 82%, draw 13%, Santiago Wanderers (W) 5%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Universidad Catolica (W) 2.47 · Santiago Wanderers (W) 0.47), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica (W) vs Santiago Wanderers (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.