Prediction: Palestino (W) vs Deportes Recoleta (W)
Expected goals: 3.99 (Palestino (W) 2.99 · Deportes Recoleta (W) 0.99). The model gives 80% home, 13% draw, 7% away. Under 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Palestino (W) sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Deportes Recoleta (W) arrives on a 1-0-9 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Palestino (W) won 2 and Deportes Recoleta (W) 0, with 1 draw.
| Palestino (W) | Draw | Deportes Recoleta (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palestino (W) (rating 1499 vs 1385).
- H2H favours Palestino (W): 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palestino (W) | Deportes Recoleta (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 3.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 0/25/75% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.3 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino (W) 2–1–0 Deportes Recoleta (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Palestino (W) |
| 13/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Palestino (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
| 29/03/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Palestino (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 58 | 2 | 40 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
| 9 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Palestino (W) | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Union Espanola (W) | 2-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-4 L | 0-9 L |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Palestino (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palestino (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Deportes Recoleta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-9 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palestino (W) vs Deportes Recoleta (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Palestino (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Palestino (W) 80%, draw 13%, Deportes Recoleta (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Palestino (W) vs Deportes Recoleta (W)?
The model expects 3.99 goals (Palestino (W) 2.99 · Deportes Recoleta (W) 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Palestino (W) vs Deportes Recoleta (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.