Prediction: Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)
Expected goals: 3.3 (Deportes Recoleta (W) 1.12 · Deportes Iquique (W) 2.18). The model gives 18% home, 22% draw, 61% away. Under 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Deportes Recoleta (W) is 1-0-9 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Deportes Iquique (W) 2-1-7 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Deportes Recoleta (W) and 3 for Deportes Iquique (W).
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | Draw | Deportes Iquique (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 21% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Iquique (W) (rating 1379 vs 1457).
- H2H favours Deportes Iquique (W): 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | Deportes Iquique (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3.5 | 0.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.9 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/22/78% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.2 | 1.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Recoleta (W) 0–0–3 Deportes Iquique (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 5-1 | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
| 06/09/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 18/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Recoleta (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 37 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 17 |
| 8 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 12 |
| 9 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 12 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 11 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 40 | 4 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Recoleta (W) | Deportes Iquique (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Huachipato (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Union Espanola (W) | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Magallanes (W) | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Colo Colo (W) | 0-9 L | 0-2 L |
| Palestino (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Recoleta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-9 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Deportes Iquique (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Iquique (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Deportes Recoleta (W) 18%, draw 22%, Deportes Iquique (W) 61%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Deportes Recoleta (W) 1.12 · Deportes Iquique (W) 2.18), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Recoleta (W) vs Deportes Iquique (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.