Prediction: Deportes Iquique (W) vs Union Espanola (W)
Expected goals: 2.13 (Deportes Iquique (W) 0.94 · Union Espanola (W) 1.19). The model gives 29% home, 29% draw, 42% away. Under 2.5 goals (57%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Deportes Iquique (W) with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Union Espanola (W) has piled up 6-3-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Deportes Iquique (W) and 3 for Union Espanola (W), with 1 draw.
| Deportes Iquique (W) | Draw | Union Espanola (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (W) (rating 1455 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Union Espanola (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Iquique (W) | Union Espanola (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/50/38% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.4 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Iquique (W) 2–1–3 Union Espanola (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 07/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 01/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 1-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 13/09/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Deportes Iquique (W) | 0-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 14/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
| 27/07/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 58 | 2 | 40 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 8 | 33 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
| 5 | Union Espanola (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Palestino (W) | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 19 |
| 7 | Huachipato (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
| 8 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 14 |
| 9 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 12 |
| 11 | Magallanes (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Iquique (W) | Union Espanola (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 4-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Magallanes (W) | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Huachipato (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Palestino (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Iquique (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Iquique (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Union Espanola (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/05 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 24/04 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Espanola (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Deportes Iquique (W) 29%, draw 29%, Union Espanola (W) 42%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Deportes Iquique (W) 0.94 · Union Espanola (W) 1.19), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Iquique (W) vs Union Espanola (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.